Confirmed previous forecast
-0.031836
Relative Brier Score
10
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-10%)
Yes
Updating my forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-20%)
Yes
Considering the Ukraine's war, I think is very unlikely that Russia will lunch a moon mission before 1 sep 2023 due to scarcity of resources and military investments.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
Comment deleted on May 17, 2023 11:56PM UTC
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
I think it will be very difficult to see a ceasefire between both sides, due to so much death and damage that has been caused