Some countries will consider it
0.37769
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
25%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
Yes
50%
No
Another coin flip
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
33%
Yes
67%
No
?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
Yes
50%
No
Coin flip
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
Less than 4 million
25%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
0%
More than or equal to 6 million
Slow to get going.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
33%
Yes
67%
No
Since these platforms are motivated by one thing (money) and labelling posts doesn't further that, they have no motivation to do so.
Files