-0.000227
Relative Brier Score
1
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
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| Definitions | |||||
The war with Ukraine has never seemed to have made Putin more vulnerable politically, and thus he must have a strong grip on power. I am making this prediction only a few months from the deadline, and I don't anticipate any global events happening that would change the political situation for Putin between now and then. In particular, the war seems like it will be at a stalemate for a long time.