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pschroeder
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2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will a top U.S. chemical or oil and gas company join the BOTTLE consortium as an industry partner by 31 August 2023?
0.302448
May 23, 2023 03:04PM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022)
-0.000395
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023?
0.002973
Mar 22, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?
0.039097
Mar 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Feb 17, 2022 and Sep 1, 2022)
0.00368
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
0.059102
Feb 02, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022)
0.005959
Jan 25, 2023 02:00PM UTC
What percentage of ASML's lithography sales will be to the United States in 2022?
-0.061623
Jan 18, 2023 05:00AM UTC
How many integrated circuit (IC) units will China produce in 2022?
0.176715
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?
0.104148
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.011406
Jan 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
0.63201
Dec 29, 2022 05:00AM UTC
In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 31, 2022 and Jun 29, 2022)
0.010157
Feb 28, 2022 03:38PM UTC
Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?
0.267019
Feb 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Feb 17, 2022)
-0.000339
Feb 16, 2022 06:45PM UTC
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 1, 2021 and Dec 31, 2021)
-0.032242
Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)
-0.004268
Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)
0.000042
Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)
-0.000361
Dec 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2021 and Dec 17, 2021)
-0.00241
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