end of year.
-0.35305
Relative Brier Score
41
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 50 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Feb 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
Oracle - Bronze
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard 3 months in a row.
New Badge
Top Forecaster of the Month - Jan 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
Top Forecaster of the Month - Dec 2023
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
Top Forecaster of the Month - Nov 2023
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-2%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(+28%)
Yes
after the clarification the resolution is clear.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
updating, as the time gets closer.
Why might you be wrong?