Forecasted Questions
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
You quit this question on Aug 27, 2024 12:53PM and have no active forecasts.
You won't receive scores for days you quit unless you make a new forecast.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 17, 2024 07:56AM UTC
(8 months ago)
Jul 17, 2024 07:56AM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 18% | 7% | +11% | -5% |
| Armenia | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
| Georgia | 6% | 4% | +2% | -1% |
| Kazakhstan | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
You quit this question on Aug 27, 2024 12:54PM and have no active forecasts.
You won't receive scores for days you quit unless you make a new forecast.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 17, 2024 07:56AM UTC
(8 months ago)
Jul 17, 2024 07:56AM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 1% | 2% | -1% | +1% |
| Latvia | 1% | 2% | -1% | +1% |
| Lithuania | 1% | 2% | -1% | +1% |
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
You quit this question on Aug 27, 2024 12:54PM and have no active forecasts.
You won't receive scores for days you quit unless you make a new forecast.
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 17, 2024 12:34PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Jul 17, 2024 12:34PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | -1% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | +1% |
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
You quit this question on Aug 27, 2024 12:56PM and have no active forecasts.
You won't receive scores for days you quit unless you make a new forecast.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 25, 2024 11:42AM UTC
(8 months ago)
Jul 25, 2024 11:42AM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 99% | 99% | +0% | +0% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
You quit this question on Aug 27, 2024 12:57PM and have no active forecasts.
You won't receive scores for days you quit unless you make a new forecast.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 25, 2024 12:11PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Jul 25, 2024 12:11PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 26% | 10% | +16% | -11% |
| No | 74% | 90% | -16% | +11% |