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According to the Brookings report from January 27, 2023 the Houthi movement's adherence to the ceasefire that began in April 2022 had indicated a willingness to engage in diplomatic solutions. This commitment was thought to have created a foundation for further negotiations and peace to the ongoing situation that had begun in 2014. There was some indication that the Houthis may be prepared to settle for less than complete control of Yemen signals a potential shift towards a political resolution. Furthermore, there was the involvement of the United Nations, along with the appointment of Tim Lenderking as the American envoy for Yemen, indicating a concerted effort to address the conflict diplomatically. However this might have further escalated the situation as the Houthis' anti-American sentiments, rooted in historical grievances and perceptions of U.S. involvement in the conflict, could have added a challenge to establishing a positive relationship. Although, the experts had noted that the historical context of the Yemen conflict, with previous ceasefires collapsing, did point to future concerns about the durability of the then-current truce. The statement acknowledged that the truce could easily break down and lead to a resumption of hostilities by the Houthis towards the Saudi-backed government that emerged in Yemen from the 2011 Arab Spring.

However during 2023 any signs of peace were further put in scrutiny due to the escalations with the US during the Israel- Gaza war. Despite the public commitment from both the Saudi-backed Yemeni government and the Iran-aligned Houthis given the new information it doesn't seem very likely that a ceasefire will be reached that lasts atleast 6 months. The active involvement of the United Nations special envoy, Hans Grundberg, in facilitating the negotiations and establishing a roadmap is a significant factor favoring a sustained ceasefire. But since there have been escalations with the US Navy which recently sank three Houthi boats after they attacked a container ship off the coast of Yemen it might impede the talks of peace. The Houthis claim that their recent round of ship strikes is retaliation against Israel for its military operation in Gaza. The US alliance towards Israel is definitely something other countries do not want to associate itself with. Given that historically previous attempts at ceasefires that eventually collapsed the prospect for this looks meek at best right now. Political, regional, and sectarian complexity are intertwined in the Houthi-Yemen conflict and its wounds are being further exacerbated by US support towards Israel in Israel-Gaza war. It could be difficult to accomplish a thorough and inclusive strategy in the allotted time frame to resolve these complex challenges.

The likelihood of a permanent ceasefire is increased by the UN's engagement and external pressure on the Houthi movement and the Yemeni government. International attention and support for peace efforts in Yemen could create a truce that lasts for at least six months in Yemen but given the Israel-Gaza conflict, this may now be put on hold. The intensification of the Hamas-Israel conflict has increased the complexity of the situation. With the Houthi movement potentially aligning more closely with Iran, particularly following the attacks by Hamas, there could be challenges in reaching a new ceasefire agreement with the Saudi-backed Yemeni government. The wider regional dynamics may affect the parties' readiness to agree to a sustained ceasefire. However, Houthis may try to get the upper hand by committing to a truce with the Yemeni government and creating better relations with its neighbours whom also support Palestine by claiming to have prioritised the well-being of their citizens over continued hostilities unlike US and Israel and finding additional reasons to continue their retaliation efforts. Saudi Arabia's evolving stance, with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman expressing a desire to exit the costly war and improve ties with the Iran-aligned Houthi militiais also a step towards this direction.

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