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Following (4)
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Questions
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Seasons
2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
-0.054147
Sep 18, 2023 04:01AM UTC
Of the following companies, which will start volume production on a 3nm chip or smaller before 17 September 2023?
0.012716
Aug 28, 2023 05:09PM UTC
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (October 2021 through September 2022)?
-0.198203
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?
-0.050288
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?
0.252428
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2022?
-0.003881
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?
-0.06371
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?
0.024244
May 23, 2023 03:04PM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022)
0.000611
Apr 21, 2023 04:49PM UTC
Will clashes between Chinese and Indian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities between 28 April 2022 and 1 April 2023?
-0.001634
Apr 20, 2023 06:16PM UTC
What percentage of contributions to Github's “very high impact” AI projects will be from the EU in 2022?
-0.006026
Apr 20, 2023 03:52PM UTC
Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?
0.006178
Apr 20, 2023 03:23PM UTC
What percentage of contributions to Github's "very high impact" AI projects will be from China in 2022?
0.007033
Apr 20, 2023 03:20PM UTC
How many European Union countries will have an AI skill migration greater than 2 per 10,000 in 2022?
-0.00229
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
From April 2022 through March 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Lebanon?
0.257115
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Which country or union will have the second most citations of "high impact" AI scientific publications in 2022?
-0.161616
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How many AI scientific publications will be published by EU institutions in 2022?
-0.028013
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?
-0.005948
Apr 17, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia?
-0.00584
Apr 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC
Before 1 April 2023, will the government of the Republic of Srpska declare secession from Bosnia-Herzegovina (BiH), establish a timeline for secession, or schedule a referendum on secession?
0.018743
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