fact checking has been removed from newsrooms. There is no editorial push for this. They make mistakes and input bias but are not concerned. Journalism no longer has as many stringers and many reporters cover the news from their hotel room.
-0.480416
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The pressure to return to journalism might affect the bottom line.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
70%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Only if it is requested. Showing this will indicate that they are being used even more than is suspected.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
A private researcher or government group "outs them"
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Why will they do anything that is not mandated. How do they make money on this?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Mandated or there is pushback for the requirement.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
Less than 4 million
10%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
30%
More than or equal to 6 million
Why do you think you're right?
Tipping point. People are sick of giving up personal data.
There will be survaillance.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Paranoia of getting "hacked"
Files
New Badge
My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
There is no incentive to do something like this. This will mean that they are responsible.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Congress is getting wise and they are intimidated by AI>
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?