It is all about making money for the news agency
2.781687
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
90%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Government regulations
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
20%
No
Why do you think you're right?
I believe it is already being done
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Improvement in security and authentication
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
20%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Number of subscribers
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Advance applications offered
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
Less than 4 million
40%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
10%
More than or equal to 6 million
Why do you think you're right?
Security
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Better security available
Files
New Badge
My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
20%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Laws are not regulating this yet
Files
Why might you be wrong?
This may impact free speech
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?