Confirmed previous forecast
-0.52955
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
63%
(0%)
Less than 20%
37%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20% but less than 24%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24%
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
63%
(0%)
Less than 20%
37%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20% but less than 24%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
How many European Union countries will have an AI skill migration greater than 2 per 10,000 in 2022?
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Less than 3
11%
(0%)
Between 3 and 5, inclusive
20%
(0%)
Between 6 and 7, inclusive
59%
(0%)
Between 8 and 10, inclusive
8%
(0%)
More than 10
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
There is a high chance that this will be the case due to the advent of Chat GPT, which is backed by Microsoft. That said, it only makes sense that Bing would love to have first-mover advantage over Google in the AI-powered search engine space.
Why might you be wrong?
Google may turn out an AI-powered search engine of its own before Bing does, which would then delay Bing.