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Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Feb 16, 2022 06:45PM UTC
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 1, 2021 and Dec 31, 2021)
0.323442
Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)
0.027745
Dec 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2021 and Dec 17, 2021)
0.017333
Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021)
0.039255
Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)
0.02359
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