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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
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Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
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Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
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metric-question
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Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
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semiconductors
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Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 04, 2021 01:49PM UTC
What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.349274
Oct 31, 2020 03:04PM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?
0.159911
Oct 21, 2020 02:47PM UTC
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.354736
Oct 01, 2020 06:17PM UTC
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
0.754026
Oct 01, 2020 02:37PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
0.347883
Oct 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
-0.000953
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?
-0.004483
Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM UTC
Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?
-0.039872
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?
0.159566
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?
-0.018172
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