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mayagros
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2020 Season
2023 Season
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2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Apr 01, 2021 04:51PM UTC
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
-0.009879
Mar 07, 2021 09:22PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
0.275178
Feb 05, 2021 05:35PM UTC
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020?
-0.000139
Feb 01, 2021 02:49PM UTC
How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
-0.032468
Feb 01, 2021 02:48PM UTC
How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
-0.011999
Feb 01, 2021 02:47PM UTC
How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
-0.010442
Jan 04, 2021 01:58PM UTC
What will the ratio of AI publications to machine learning research job postings be for Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft, combined, in 2020?
0.025648
Jan 04, 2021 01:49PM UTC
What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.000372
Nov 13, 2020 04:08PM UTC
When will China officially recognize a winner of the U.S. presidential election?
-0.066533
Nov 03, 2020 05:49PM UTC
Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020?
-0.007486
Nov 03, 2020 02:25PM UTC
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
-0.020453
Oct 15, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020?
-0.004196
Oct 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
-0.000142
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