RFI Pro Forecaster Program

2024 Season 

The 2024 Pro Forecaster Program is made up of RFI's most accurate and engaged forecasters, as well as a few top forecasters with proven track records on similar forecasting sites. Pros are paid to make forecasts that contribute to RFI's aim to advance the forecasting capability and analytical rigor behind U.S. policy decisions.

About the Role 

The primary role of a Pro Forecaster is to provide regularly updated forecasts, committing 8-10 hours per month to the activity. Pros are asked to:

  • Forecast weekly (preferred) or bi-weekly (at a minimum) to ensure that they are generating timely forecasts: this includes submitting new forecasts and updating prior forecasts to indicate how their perspective has changed;

  • Write thoughtful rationales consistent with forecasting best practices;

  • Forecast on questions for which we need data: we might ask them to focus on specific questions in a given month. Be vigilant about forecasting on questions that have less activity or are closing soon;

  • Stay up to date on the questions that are active on RFI and proactively find relevant information to inform their forecasts; and

  • Attend occasional virtual meetings and events with other RFI Pro Forecasters.


Benefits & Rewards

  • Earned compensation - Pros earn USD 200 per month for every month they complete as a Pro. Payments are dispersed quarterly through Gusto (U.S.) or Veem. 

  • Professional credentials - Experience as a Pro can be added to a resume, Linked In profile, and similar social platforms to boost professional credentials.

  • Community - Pros learn alongside a team of highly accurate and passionate forecasters and grow their professional network. Pros also collaborate as a cohort and within their smaller teams through dedicated channels, such as our Pro Discord server and forecasting meetups.

  • Development of forecasting skill - Pros have access to forecaster training resources aiming to improve individual forecasting accuracy and hone best practices. 

  • Contributions to government analysis and decisions - Forecasts will provide RAND researchers and the policymakers they support with predictive insights that inform decision making.

  • Invitations to exclusive Pro events - Pros are invited to attend exclusive virtual events and forecasting meetups with RAND researchers on various topics. 

If you have additional questions about the Pro Forecaster program, please email [email protected].

About RFI

The RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI) is a new forecasting capability that aims to support policy analysis and decision making with crowdsourced predictions from RAND analysts and an external global community of forecasters. This collective intelligence generates predictive trends and early signals that augment traditional RAND research tools and expertise.

RFI is supported by Cultivate Labs.

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