Review Question

Will Turkiye invade Syria before January 1 2026

Answer Initial Probability
Yes 50%
No 50%
Description

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-fears-military-buildup-by-turkey-signals-preparations-for-incursion-into-syria-1c2e88e9?st=Lihkie

It appears Turkiye will invade Syria before Jan. 21 

My thesis. Allowing Mambij Deir_ez-Zor_c and Kobani to fall and signing cease fire with SFF, a ruse to delay deployment of more active measures.

Whether with Israel or Turkiye Biden failed to warn and deter these erstwhile allies. In fact Biden tried to take credit for fall of Assad.

Really?

Starts
Dec 17, 2024 02:06PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2026 02:06PM
Topics
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Tags
Syria

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