Review Question
Will the current AI bubble burst before the next midterm elections in the U.S., November 2026?
Answer | Initial Probability |
---|---|
Yes | 50% |
No | 50% |
Author

Description
A burst bubble would be reflected in a 30% or more decline in the value of relevant equities such as Nvidia, Anthropic, etc. It may not be clear that the bubble has burst for 6-12 months after the fact, but like the chimp memory bubble of the 1980s, the telecom bubble of the 1990s, the Internet bubble of the early 2000s, it will be clear and unmistakeable after the fact.
Starts
Mar 7, 2025 06:14PM
Closes
Nov 4, 2025 07:14PM
Topics
Artificial Intelligence
Tags
U.S. tech sector
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