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Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?
Closed Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Related question. A related question on Good Judgment Open asks about the chance of a U.S. boycott.
Context. The 2022 Winter Olympics are scheduled to occur in Beijing between February 4 and 20, 2022.
In recent months, countries, companies, and athletes have faced rising pressure to boycott the Beijing Olympics because of China's treatment of Uyghur Muslims in Xinjiang (CNBC, Economist, Guardian). More than 180 organizations have called to boycott the Beijing Olympics (BBC, Economist). Tensions rose further following sanctions by the UK, U.S., Canada, and the EU against China for "serious human rights abuses" (CNN). The Biden administration has floated the idea of a boycott (Financial Times) and has reportedly discussed a joint boycott with U.S. allies (AP News).
Countries have boycotted the Olympics for various reasons throughout history (Montreal Gazette, History.com). The U.S boycotted the Moscow Olympics to protest the Soviet Union’s invasion of Afghanistan, and sixty-five nations refused to participate in the games (U.S State Gov). Most of the nations of Sub-Saharan Africa boycotted the Summer Olympics in Montreal to protest the attendance of New Zealand after the latter sent its rugby team to play against the team from apartheid South Africa (U.S State Gov).
Resolution details. The outcome of this question will be determined by reputable media reporting or an official announcement that a G7 country is boycotting the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics. G7 countries are Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, and the U.S.
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Question clarification
A diplomatic boycott -- i.e., not sending government officials -- does not count. For purposes of this question, a boycott involves a country's decision not to send its athletes to compete.
A user asked whether it would count if one or more G7 countries persuaded the IOC to move the Olympics to a different location. If one or more G7 countries states that it would not otherwise attend, then yes; otherwise, no.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 15.07% | |
No | 84.93% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 193 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
Number of Forecasts | 524 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |