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What will be the percent increase in the number of disinformation cases discussing Germany, originating in pro-Kremlin media, between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025, compared to the same period one year prior?

Starts Oct 01, 2024 12:00PM UTC (8 hours from now)
Closing Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC

EUvsDisinfo is a project of the European External Action Service’s East StratCom Task Force, with the goal of identifying and combating disinformation campaigns originating from pro-Kremlin media sources. Since its establishment in 2015, EUvsDisinfo has focused on detecting and debunking Russian disinformation campaigns targeting the EU and its member states (EUvsDisinfo). Russian influence has been particularly notable since the onset of the Ukraine conflict, and the German government has recognized these tactics as part of a broader strategy to influence public opinion and promote Russian interests (German Federal Ministry of the Interior and Community). Disinformation campaigns have intensified during electoral periods in Germany, raising concerns about their potential impact on the 2025 federal elections (DW, ISD Global). 

EUvsDisinfo has recorded the following number of disinformation cases from October 1st of one year through September 30th of the next:
  • Oct 2023 to Sept 2024: 103 
  • Oct 2022 to Sept 2023: 107 
  • Oct 2021 to Sept 2022: 53
  • Oct 2020 to Sept 2021: 262
  • Oct 2019 to Sept 2020: 248 
  • Oct 2018 to Sept 2019: 103 
  • Oct 2017 to Sept 2018: 53 
  • Oct 2016 to Sept 2017: 85 
  • Oct 2015 to Sept 2016: 106 

Resolution Criteria: This question will be resolved using the EUvsDisinfo database. To find the number of disinformation cases discussing Germany that were detected in a given time frame, select “Germany” from the “Country / Region” filter on the left hand side and select the relevant dates from the “Date” filter. The number of cases matching these criteria will be displayed above the list of cases. To determine the percent increase, the number of cases recorded from 1 October 2024 to 30 September 2025 will be compared to the 103 cases recorded from 1 October 2023 to 30 September 2024.

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Answers
Less than 0% (the number of disinformation cases will decrease)
More than or equal to 0% but less than 25%
More than or equal to 25% but less than 50%
More than or equal to 50% but less than 75%
More than or equal to 75%
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