What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?

Started Jun 17, 2020 03:02PM UTC
Closed Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
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Data and resolution details. This question is based on data from the Nexis Metabase (2020), a corpus of global news articles on a variety of topics. The question is limited to press releases by companies that Nexis categorizes as corporate and located in the United States. A press release is on the topic of AI if it mentions the term "artificial intelligence" of "machine learning"; and it's on the topic of AI ethics if it also mentions either "ethics," "bias," fairness," or any variant of those terms. 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following scenarios:

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Resolution Notes

The answer is 3.3%

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1.5% 7%
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive 14%
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% 21%
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% 29%
More than 6% 30%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 143
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60
Number of Forecasts 234
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.273872
2.
-0.255263
3.
-0.201684
4.
-0.197657
5.
-0.190546

Consensus Trend

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