Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?

Started Aug 05, 2020 12:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM UTC
Seasons

Context. On July 31, 2020, President Trump threatened to ban the app TikTok in the United States, citing security concerns. Two days later, Microsoft announced that it had been in discussions with President Trump regarding purchasing TikTok service in the United States, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) is conducting a security review and would need to approve the purchase. Microsoft said it would pursue the deal over the next few weeks and will complete the discussions no later than September 15.

Data and resolution details. This question will resolve based on an announcement by Microsoft that it has reached an agreement with TikTok and the U.S. government to purchase TikTok service in the United States.

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Resolution Notes

Microsoft officials have announced that Tik Tok selected Oracle over Microsoft. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/13/technology/tiktok-microsoft-oracle-bytedance.html

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 37.54%
No 62.46%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 137
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60
Number of Forecasts 295
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.444913
2.
-0.381644
3.
-0.364554
4.
-0.363656
5.
-0.361579

Consensus Trend

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