Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020?
Closed Oct 28, 2020 01:00PM UTC
Context. On September 19, the People’s Republic of China Ministry of Commerce released the provisions of an “Unreliable Entity List” that would restrict the ability of listed companies to conduct trade or investment with China. Listed company employees would also be restricted from entering or residing in China. According to state media outlet the Global Times, listed entities might include U.S. companies such as Apple, Cisco or Qualcomm. Reporting by the Wall Street Journal indicates that Chinese leadership is divided over whether to implement the entity list before the U.S. election in November.
Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on popular media sources. A company is a "U.S. company" if the United States is its principal place of business.
***
To suggest a change or clarification to this question, please select Request Clarification from the green gear-shaped dropdown button to the right of the question.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 14.90% | |
No | 85.10% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 106 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 60 | |
Number of Forecasts | 158 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 222 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |