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Artificial Intelligence

Closing

Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC (1 month)

AI is a critical disruptor that is transforming governments, economies, and society. Will the U.S. advantage in AI grow or diminish? Learn more...

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Will a Chinese organization produce DUV (ArFi) photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 140 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2026?

Closing Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 34 · 50

25%

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Will a Chinese organization produce EUV photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 90 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2030?

Closing Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 26 · 40

26%

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In the next 12 months, will a Large Language Model built by a Chinese organization rank in the top 3 overall on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 49 · 83

24%

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Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Closing Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC · 110 · 331

0%

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On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?

Closing May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 118 · 539

33%

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By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

Closing Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 252 · 1032

5%

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