Forecasted Questions
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 28, 2023 03:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 28, 2023 03:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-400 or S-500 missile system | 15% | 9% | +6% | +1% |
| Su-35 fighter jets | 15% | 7% | +8% | -1% |
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 28, 2023 04:01PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 28, 2023 04:01PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuwait | 3% | 1% | +2% | -2% |
| Oman | 3% | 2% | +1% | -3% |
| Qatar | 3% | 1% | +2% | -3% |
| Saudi Arabia | 3% | 2% | +1% | -17% |
| Tunisia | 3% | 1% | +2% | -2% |
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 15, 2023 06:17PM UTC
(11 months ago)
Dec 15, 2023 06:17PM UTC
(11 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | 11% | +49% | -34% |
| No | 40% | 89% | -49% | +34% |