that doesnt happen often
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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
it could happen
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 28, 2024 06:36PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
Yes
Jan 28, 2024 to Jul 28, 2024
No because its too dangerous and it probably take a lot more time to plan.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
Yes
40%
No
I think external pressures will force a pause in conflict
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 13, 2023 12:50AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
60%
Yes
Nov 13, 2023 to Dec 13, 2023
Why do you think you're right?
I think external pressures and more clarity on the situation in Gaza will force a ceasefire.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If information remains largely unclear
Files
Why do you think you're right?
im smart
Why might you be wrong?
president T