Confirmed previous forecast
5.027469
Relative Brier Score
49
Forecasts
5
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 3 | 77 | 49 | 426 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 30 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 3 | 58 | 39 | 156 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 26 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 1, 2024 to Mar 1, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Sep 1, 2024 to Mar 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Putin has recently assumed his fifth term, without any real opposition. It's almost impossible for that to happen.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
That Putin's health is really affected.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 1, 2024 03:17AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Aug 1, 2024 to Feb 1, 2025
100%
No
Aug 1, 2024 to Feb 1, 2025
According to some specialists, China's Army could isolate Taiwan, paralyze its economy and make the democratic island succumb to the will of the ruling Communist Party in Beijing without firing a single shot. I agree because China's action against Taiwan will take that course.
https://cnnespanol.cnn.com/2024/06/22/china-taiwan-invasion-estados-unidos-tension-conflicto-trax/
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
76%
(0%)
Yes
24%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 1, 2024 12:19AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
98%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 1, 2024 to Aug 1, 2024
2%
(0%)
No
Jul 1, 2024 to Aug 1, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 1, 2024 to Jul 1, 2025
98%
(0%)
No
Jul 1, 2024 to Jul 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
China has maintained very close relations with the continent since the Cold War, taking advantage of the indifference of the United States. Although China has been one of the main suppliers of personnel for peacekeeping operations, it is also one of the main marketers of arms. It is very likely another military base that also allows it to be "close" to the United States. I leave material that condenses this information:
https://www.dsn.gob.es/es/file/9211/download?token=R4XA4Y1p