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BlancaElenaGG

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Forecasted Questions
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Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 01, 2024 03:36AM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 21% 20%
No 79% 80%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 30, 2024 11:55PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 2% 3%
Kyiv 1% 1%
Odesa 1% 2%

Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 30, 2024 11:55PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg 0% 0%
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg) 10% 0%
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg) 69% 1%
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg) 21% 99%

Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 30, 2024 11:56PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 2% 1%
No 98% 99%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2024 12:16AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 1% 2%
Latvia 1% 1%
Lithuania 2% 2%

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2024 12:17AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 1% 1%
Oman 1% 2%
Qatar 1% 1%
Saudi Arabia 1% 2%
Tunisia 1% 1%

Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(6 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2024 12:18AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 7%
No 100% 93%

By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2024 12:18AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 6% 1%
No 94% 99%

Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?

You quit this question on Jul 31, 2024 02:00AM and have no active forecasts. You won't receive scores for days you quit unless you make a new forecast.
Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2024 12:19AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 76% 8%
No 24% 92%

Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 31, 2024 03:21PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 96% 35%
No 4% 65%
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