178th
Accuracy Rank

BlancaElenaGG

Forecasted Questions

Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2024 03:42AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 99% 97%
No 1% 3%

Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2024 03:43AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%

Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2024 03:43AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 2% 1%
No 98% 99%

Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2024 03:43AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
S-400 or S-500 missile system 4% 9%
Su-35 fighter jets 6% 7%

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2024 03:43AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 5%
No 99% 95%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2024 03:44AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 0% 8%
Armenia 1% 2%
Georgia 3% 4%
Kazakhstan 2% 2%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2024 03:47AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 30, 2024 10:25PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 5%
No 99% 95%

Will Egypt experience an economic collapse (as defined by any of the listed scenarios) in the next 12 months?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 30, 2024 10:38PM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 9%
No 100% 91%
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username