Forecasted Questions
Participation in currently active questions
Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Jul 1, 2025 04:00AM
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 8, 2025 04:23AM
(2 months ago)
Feb 8, 2025 04:23AM
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 99% | +1% | +0% |
Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 1, 2030 05:00AM
(5 years from now)
Jan 1, 2030 05:00AM
(5 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 8, 2025 04:25AM
(2 months ago)
Feb 8, 2025 04:25AM
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25% | 5% | +20% | -9% |
| No | 75% | 95% | -20% | +9% |