Confirmed previous forecast
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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 8, 2025 04:24AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 8, 2025 to Aug 8, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Feb 8, 2025 to Aug 8, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 24, 2024 08:33AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 24, 2024 to Apr 24, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Oct 24, 2024 to Apr 24, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
There are far more chances of naturally occurring events. Labs are generally pretty well locked down to prevent escape of biological contaminents.
Why might you be wrong?
People are people. Mistakes are