Confirmed previous forecast
1.233491
Relative Brier Score
14
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 24, 2024 to Apr 24, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Oct 24, 2024 to Apr 24, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-80%)
Yes
100%
(+80%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Israel is hellbent on genocide. Netanyahu is too popular.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
There is a lot of pressure growing world wide to stop the genocide.
Files