Confirmed previous forecast
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Relative Brier Score
1
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 22, 2024 to May 22, 2025
90%
(0%)
No
Nov 22, 2024 to May 22, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
(0%)
Yes
75%
(0%)
No
Confirming forecasts
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(+19%)
Yes
80%
(-19%)
No
Recent support by regional actors increases the likelihood
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 23, 2024 04:45PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
75%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 23, 2024 to Oct 23, 2024
25%
(0%)
No
Apr 23, 2024 to Oct 23, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
The clock is ticking.