Timeline
1.72692
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Japan
0%
South Korea
5%
Any other country not listed
Deadline approaches
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
Implausible at this point
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Intel
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
Simply too late in the year for this kind of major announcement, but I would put the odds much higher for an early 23 announcement, perhaps at a shareholder meeting
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
Intel
83%
Samsung
81%
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)
Samsung and TSMC have defined their lithography in such a way that makes this easier, while Intel's definition makes this a more challenging hurdle.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
Yes
Using the fuel yes, but only a mix. Even a 5% mix of sustainable fuel makes for good press releases
Files
New Badge
Limited news but still feasible