Erich-Grunewald

Erich Grunewald
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Forecasted Questions

Will a Chinese organization produce DUV (ArFi) photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 140 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2026?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 04, 2024 11:02AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 20% 25%
No 80% 75%

Will a Chinese organization produce EUV photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 90 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2030?​

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(25 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 04, 2024 11:05AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 5% 32%
No 95% 68%
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