Forecasted Questions
Will a Chinese organization produce DUV (ArFi) photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 140 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2026?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(6 days from now)
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(6 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 04, 2024 11:02AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Nov 04, 2024 11:02AM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | 29% | -9% | +2% |
| No | 80% | 71% | +9% | -2% |
Will a Chinese organization produce EUV photolithography machines that are capable of high-volume manufacturing (at least 90 wafers per hour) before 1 January 2030?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(6 days from now)
Dec 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(6 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 04, 2024 11:05AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Nov 04, 2024 11:05AM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 31% | -26% | -2% |
| No | 95% | 69% | +26% | +2% |