Confirmed previous forecast
-0.039952
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 15, 2024 04:05PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Mar 15, 2024 to Sep 15, 2024
Base is low
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
Base probability low
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
Yes
96%
No
False positives, not in their interest
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
No opposition, good doctors
Files