Confirmed previous forecast
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |

New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files

New Prediction
This forecast expired on Apr 15, 2024 04:05PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Mar 15, 2024 to Sep 15, 2024
Base is low
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
Base probability low
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
Yes
96%
No
False positives, not in their interest
Files

New Badge

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
No opposition, good doctors
Files