Junpei

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0.02103

Relative Brier Score

3

Forecasts

0

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Forecasting Activity
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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New Prediction
Junpei
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
25%
Less than $90
50%
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
17%
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
8%
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
0%
More than or equal to $120

It's a (statistical) normal estimation that I skewed around 90-100 based on past data.

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New Prediction

The biggest market for chip is the US. All the AI/machine learning/computing lead-research and development are located in the US. Moreover, the value-added of sold product containing chip is the highest in the US. Hence I do not see, in the near future a drop of the NA market share in TSMC's results.

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My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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New Prediction

Putin has a firm grip on the country. Nobody dares to challenges him and the muddy details of the death of Navalny reinforces my instinct nothing could keep him away from the Russian Federation presidency.

The only possibility is death from natural or health issues as he is 71.

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