I don’t think Turkey will budge in it’s objections that quickly.
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Maybe they will be convinced to do it last minute.
Files
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
I don’t think that there will be significant quantum systems to enable an attack or be the victim of an attack.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
I think things have calmed down and attacks on civilians won’t be as deadly as during the height of the civil war.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
I think the groups are going to step up their game with the drawn down French presence and political turmoil in the region but I don’t know that the spread will go as those areas of Nigeria.
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I don’t think the fighting will clear up soon and then they will need to work out a civilian government (hopefully).