7th
Accuracy Rank

Lulu

About:
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-0.155121

Relative Brier Score

17

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 8 8 71 53 104
Comments 0 0 0 0 1
Questions Forecasted 8 8 16 14 23
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 2 0 2
 Definitions
New Badge
Lulu
earned a new badge:

Oracle - Silver

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard 6 months in a row.
New Badge
Lulu
earned a new badge:

Top Forecaster - Oct 2024

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
Lulu
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Lulu
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
10% (0%)
Moldova
0% (0%)
Armenia
0% (0%)
Georgia
0% (0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Lulu
made their 8th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5% (0%)
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
95% (0%)
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Lulu
made their 8th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Lulu
made their 8th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8% (0%)
Yes
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
92% (0%)
No
Oct 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Lulu
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
1% (+1%)
Estonia
1% (+1%)
Latvia
1% (+1%)
Lithuania

These three Baltic countries are NATO members, meaning that an attack on any of them would trigger NATO’s defense. This significant deterrent makes a direct invasion unlikely. However, tensions in the region remain possible due to Russia’s strategic interests

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Lulu
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

Files
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