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Relative Brier Score
Questions Forecasted
7
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 3 | 55 | 7 | 119 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 23 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Definitions |

New Prediction
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Compare to me
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Moldova
0%
(0%)
Armenia
0%
(0%)
Georgia
0%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Estonia
1%
(0%)
Latvia
1%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 27, 2025 to Sep 27, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Mar 27, 2025 to Sep 27, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
90%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Huawei has not explicitly announced plans to sell Open RAN equipment, and its current focus remains on its traditional 5G solutions. I would give a 10% for now.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Huawei's potential to surprise the market
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Moldova
0%
(0%)
Armenia
0%
(0%)
Georgia
0%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Estonia
1%
(0%)
Latvia
1%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files

New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 28, 2025 01:47AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 28, 2025 to Jul 28, 2025
100%
(0%)
No
Jan 28, 2025 to Jul 28, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files