Mariana_DiazG

The question is closing in a few days and there are no indications that this will take place

The current number of fatalities, as well as the record of fatalities according to ACLED's data, make the number unlikely, unless, there is an unexpected event that would increase the number. However, the question will be closing in a few days, making this highly unlikely 

The numbers up to today are :

TIME PERIOD:01/01/2023-08/12/2023

EVENTS:143 FATALITIES:687

Fortunately, the number of fatalities will likely not reach 2000 in the next following days. 

https://acleddata.com/dashboard/#/dashboard

The current statistics as of today are the following: 

TIME PERIOD:01/01/2023-08/12/2023 EVENTS: 96829.

FATALITIES:1,265

With the closing date approaching in a few days, it seems highly unlikely that the number will reach 2000

With just a few days before the closing date, the current statistics  (26-12)include:

TIME PERIOD:01/01/2023-08/12/2023 EVENTS: 3,4026 FATALITIES:95 . The number is still quite low compared to the 700 proposed. 

Data from : https://acleddata.com/dashboard/#/dashboard

The political transition in Haiti is still surrounded by a violence crisis and a possible mission from Kenya, however, with just a few days left, it does not seem feasible that Ariel Henry will cease to be president by an irregular transition

https://www.diariolasamericas.com/america-latina/siete-paises-america-latina-escogen-sus-lideres-y-futuro-2024-n5348522

There are no clear indicators that this might happen. The company has gone through similar unscheduled emergencies without shutting down for such a long period of time. 

Currently, Australia issues the overall advice level for Taiwan:

"Exercise normal safety precautions"

https://www.smartraveller.gov.au/search?search=taiwan

There are no current signs that this will drastically change soon , particularly, in the next following months.