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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
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Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
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China Lithography
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Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
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metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
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semiconductors
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U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
In 2022, will the Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Co. list a new lithography machine as an available product on its website?
0.423221
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
By 31 December 2022, will Impossible Foods announce a date for their IPO?
0.010034
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?
0.046916
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2022 and Jan 1, 2023)
0.003457
Dec 29, 2022 05:00AM UTC
In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 31, 2022 and Jun 29, 2022)
0.000644
Dec 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2022 and Dec 17, 2022)
0.005353
Dec 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022)
0.415733
Dec 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022)
0.000377
Nov 15, 2022 01:01PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Dec 2022
0.291809
Nov 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2022 and Nov 6, 2022)
0.112294
Nov 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
0.000348
Oct 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2022 and Oct 17, 2022)
0.0028
Oct 15, 2022 01:00PM UTC
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Nov 2022
0.043803
Sep 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2022 and Sep 17, 2022)
0.004516
Aug 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022)
0.002929
Aug 09, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will the U.S. President sign legislation which appropriates funds for the Advanced Packaging Manufacturing Program during FY'22?
0.635969
Aug 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 3, 2022 and Aug 3, 2022)
0.004374
Aug 01, 2022 01:52PM UTC
Will the Council of the European Union announce sanctions on the provision of cloud services to Russia before 31 July 2022?
-0.000009
Aug 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years? - 2022 H1
0.005622
Jul 30, 2022 04:00AM UTC
Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?
0.866433
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