166th
Accuracy Rank

Raan_Mend

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Forecasted Questions

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2024 07:53AM UTC
(8 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 50% Oct 28, 2024 to Apr 28, 2025 Nov 28, 2024 51%
No 50% Oct 28, 2024 to Apr 28, 2025 Nov 28, 2024 49%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(2 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2024 07:53AM UTC
(8 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 0% 2%
Latvia 0% 1%
Lithuania 0% 1%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2024 07:53AM UTC
(8 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 75% 4%
Kyiv 5% 1%
Odesa 20% 3%
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