Confirmed previous forecast
2.219391
Relative Brier Score
39
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 3 | 50 | 39 | 293 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 62 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
75%
(0%)
Kharkiv
5%
(0%)
Kyiv
20%
(0%)
Odesa
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 28, 2024 to Apr 28, 2025
50%
(0%)
No
Oct 28, 2024 to Apr 28, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
(0%)
Kharkiv
5%
(0%)
Kyiv
20%
(0%)
Odesa
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 29, 2024 10:48PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50%
Yes
Aug 29, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
50%
No
Aug 29, 2024 to Feb 28, 2025
https://projects.voanews.com/african-coups/
There will be couple of tries, succesfull rate is not promising. Will continue monitoring.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
(0%)
Kharkiv
5%
(0%)
Kyiv
20%
(0%)
Odesa
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
