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145th
Accuracy Rank
Revmag
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2020 Season
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
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Iran Nuclear Program
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metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Dec 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022)
0.001653
Dec 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022)
-0.000137
Nov 17, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2022 and Nov 17, 2022)
-0.000316
Nov 14, 2022 02:43PM UTC
Will Google score more wins than any other submitter in the next round of the MLPerf training benchmarking suite?
-0.004076
Nov 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2022 and Nov 6, 2022)
0.000158
Nov 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
-0.0002
Oct 31, 2022 04:00AM UTC
In the next edition of the Times Higher Education (THE) World University Rankings, will there be 6 or more Chinese universities with a research score of 60 or greater in computer science?
0.009647
Oct 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 3, 2022 and Oct 3, 2022)
-0.000087
Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM UTC
Will the U.S. House Subcommittee on Consumer Protection and Commerce vote on the Algorithmic Accountability Act of 2022 before 31 July 2022?
-0.113376
Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM UTC
Will the French data protection authority (CNIL) announce a fine against Clearview AI before 31 July 2022?
-0.035088
Jul 30, 2022 04:00AM UTC
Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?
-0.002605
Jul 29, 2022 01:55PM UTC
How much revenue will Intel report for the second quarter of 2022?
-0.013233
Jul 27, 2022 12:59PM UTC
How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?
-0.014612
Jul 21, 2022 01:00PM UTC
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022?
0.037049
Jul 06, 2022 03:59AM UTC
What percentage of Arizona will be facing severe drought or worse on 5 July 2022?
0.003193
Jul 01, 2022 01:33PM UTC
By 30 June 2022, will a date be announced for a Mobileye IPO?
0.029895
Jul 01, 2022 01:25PM UTC
Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022?
-0.001243
Jun 30, 2022 09:02PM UTC
On 30 June 2022, how much funding will Crunchbase’s “Hub for Artificial Intelligence Companies Founded in the Last Year” report that those companies have raised?
-0.001085
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