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Revmag
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2024 Season
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
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Iran: Threats & Influence
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Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
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semiconductors
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Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Apr 21, 2023 04:49PM UTC
Will clashes between Chinese and Indian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities between 28 April 2022 and 1 April 2023?
-0.000696
Apr 20, 2023 03:52PM UTC
Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?
-0.002038
Apr 20, 2023 03:23PM UTC
What percentage of contributions to Github's "very high impact" AI projects will be from China in 2022?
0.009268
Apr 20, 2023 03:20PM UTC
How many European Union countries will have an AI skill migration greater than 2 per 10,000 in 2022?
0.058464
Apr 18, 2023 04:06PM UTC
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined?
0.076637
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
From April 2022 through March 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Lebanon?
-0.0065
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?
-0.017602
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Which country or union will have the second most citations of "high impact" AI scientific publications in 2022?
0.009508
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How many AI scientific publications will be published by EU institutions in 2022?
-0.01541
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Which country will have published the second most "high impact" journal articles on artificial intelligence in 2022?
-0.073116
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
In 2022, will a Chinese institution have the most "high impact" AI research publications?
-0.015677
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?
-0.002961
Apr 17, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia?
-0.003213
Apr 10, 2023 09:00PM UTC
What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?
-0.000793
Apr 05, 2023 07:15PM UTC
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?
-0.011112
Apr 05, 2023 07:14PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2022 and Feb 1, 2023)
0.002568
Apr 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC
Before 1 April 2023, will the government of the Republic of Srpska declare secession from Bosnia-Herzegovina (BiH), establish a timeline for secession, or schedule a referendum on secession?
-0.000766
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023?
-0.000294
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will SpaceX launch Starship into orbit before 1 April 2023?
0.0
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China?
-0.114165
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