-0.183633
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 902 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 855 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 96 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 642 |
Definitions |
Coming down toward the crowd a little, though remaining higher than the crowd because I think tensions are high in the region and I think Israel's response to Gaza suggests it sees strength and deterrence as a key part of its response, which might mean retaliation against Iran for whatever role it might have played.
Down on passage of time.
Down on passage of time.
Coming down toward the crowd a bit, but I still think there's a higher chance of this occurring than the crowd indicates.
The year is almost over.