Confirmed previous forecast
-0.000106
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Aug 3, 2024 11:22AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 3, 2024 to Jan 3, 2025
50%
(0%)
No
Jul 3, 2024 to Jan 3, 2025
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Aug 3, 2024 11:22AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Jul 3, 2024 to Jan 3, 2025
98%
(0%)
No
Jul 3, 2024 to Jan 3, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
95%
(0%)
Yes
5%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(+20%)
Yes
70%
(-20%)
No
Something needs to give, but its not in Bibis interest.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 20, 2024 12:59PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
(+5%)
Yes
Jun 20, 2024 to Dec 20, 2024
80%
(-5%)
No
Jun 20, 2024 to Dec 20, 2024
Correcting -
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 20, 2024 12:59PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 20, 2024 to Jun 20, 2025
80%
(0%)
No
Jun 20, 2024 to Jun 20, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 14, 2024 08:25AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50%
(+40%)
Yes
Apr 14, 2024 to Oct 14, 2024
50%
(-40%)
No
Apr 14, 2024 to Oct 14, 2024
Waiting to see how they label US support to Israel.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 13, 2024 05:36PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 13, 2024 to Oct 13, 2024
97%
(0%)
No
Apr 13, 2024 to Oct 13, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files