0.002561
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Putin's fate is strongly correlated to two things: 1) domestic politics - conscription has proved very unpopular, but there simply does not seem to be enough momentum for a popular revolution and there is no viable candidate that could challenge/replace Putin in the short term and 2) the Ukraine War and its economic effects - here an end to the war before 1 March 2023 is highly unlikely and the economic effects (at least of the sanctions) are far less severe than Western politicians would like to have us believe