120th
Accuracy Rank

Tan

About:
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0.290601

Relative Brier Score

21

Forecasts

1

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 43 21 85
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 0 20 11 27
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 7 1 9
 Definitions
New Prediction

To take such a big step there need to proper planning and procedures .. seeing the time left and the current statement by the head of Microsoft research Peter lee this is not likely to happen in coming future 

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New Prediction
Tan
made their 7th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Aug 21, 2024 to Feb 21, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Tan
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Sep 21, 2024 05:30PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
6% (0%)
Yes
Aug 21, 2024 to Feb 21, 2025
94% (0%)
No
Aug 21, 2024 to Feb 21, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Badge
Tan
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Tan
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
7% (0%)
Yes
93% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction

Confirm previous forecast 

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New Prediction
Tan
made their 6th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Sep 24, 2024 05:31AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (-5%)
Yes
Jun 24, 2024 to Dec 24, 2024

Not likely to happen 

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New Badge
Tan
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Seeing the current scenario between the two and the western government it is less likely to happen.

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